PREVIEW Italy v Croatia

first_img[dropcap]N[/dropcap]o joy yesterday, although I spent a long period thinking that the DRAW recommendation at Wembley was looking good.The final current round of Euro 2016 qualifiers take place on Sunday and the match that catches the eye the most is Italy v Croatia at 7.45pm.Trevor Harris from the Star Sports trading desk reported weakness behind Italy in the lunchtime market movers update and it’s easy to see why.Croatia are a tough side to break down, they have kept a clean sheet in six of their last eight competitive matches including their three games in Group H.They dispute the lead with Italy who are also unbeaten but Croatia have a goal advantage of five goals and seem to be winning their games more comfortably.Daniele De Rossi will collect his 100th cap for Italy in tonight’s game at the San Siro but the Italians are without Mario Balotelli due to a hamstring injury which has also ruled out Angelo Ogbonna.Italy v CoatiaEuro 2016 Qualifier7.45pm LIVE ITV 4HEAD TO HEAD RECORD(Maximum 10 matches)Jun 2012 Euros Italy 1-1 CroatiaAug 2006 International Italy 0-2 CroatiaJun 2002 World Cup Italy 1-2 CroatiaApr 1999 International Croatia 0-0 ItalyOct 1995 Euros Croatia 1-1 ItalyNov 1994 Euros Italy 1-2 CroatiaApr 1942 International Italy 4-0 CroatiaSomething has to give tonight or possibly not….Italy will have the considerable home advantage but their recent wins have been laboured and the market might well be right in taking them on.I’m again going for the draw. It’s 11/5 with Star Sports.RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-50 points)BACK DRAW at around 11/5 for 4 points with Star SportsRETURN SINCE START OF WORLD CUP: PROFIT 32.58 POINTSWhat’s your view? CALL STAR SPORTS 08000 521 321last_img